普华永道：世界2050：全球经济权力转移是否继续？(英文46 页)

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 普华永道最新发布的《世界2050：全球经济权力转移是否继续？》

Contents

1. Summary: The world in 2050 1

1.1. Highlights 1

1.2. Key findings: GDP projections to 2050 1

1.3. Implications for business strategy 4

2. Introduction 6

2.1. Background to the ‘World in 2050’ reports 6

2.2. Our modelling approach 6

2.3. What has changed since the January 2013 update? 7

2.4. Structure of this report 7

3. Key results 8

3.1. Relative size of the economies 8

3.2. Projected real GDP growth 17

3.3. Relative income levels 21

3.4. Scenario analysis 22

4. Institutional challenges and business implications 25

4.1. Escaping the middle income trap – the critical role of institutions 25

4.2. Implications for business strategy 30

Appendices 34

Appendix A: Drivers of growth 35

Appendix B: Additional projections for GDP at market exchange rates 40

Authors, contacts and services 43