世行：全球经济展望( 英文 238页)

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Pandemic, Recession: The Global Economy in Crisis

Summary of Contents

Chapter 1 Pandemic, Recession: The Global Economy in Crisis .......... 1

Box 1.1 How deep will the COVID-19 recession be? ...........13

Box 1.2 Recent developments and outlook for low-income countries (LICs)......24

Box 1.3 Scenarios of possible global growth outcomes ..........30

Box 1.4 How does informality aggravate the impact of COVID-19? ........36

Chapter 2 Regional Outlooks.....67

Special Focus Regional Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19 .............109

Box SF.1 The impact of COVID-19 on global value chains ......... 117

Chapter 3 Lasting Scars of the COVID-19 Pandemic.....131

Box 3.1 How do deep recessions affect potential output in EMDEs?...... 146

Box 3.2 How do disasters affect productivity?. ......... 151

Chapter 4 Adding Fuel to the Fire: Cheap Oil During the Pandemic ..........181

Box 4.1 Reforms after the 2014-16 oil price plunge ........... 193

Statistical Appendix ...........205

Selected Topics ........212