《2050年的世界：全球经济秩序如何改变》(英文 72 页)

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《2050年的世界：全球经济秩序如何改变》

The World in 2050

The long view: how will the global economic order change by 2050?

Table of Contents

1. Summary ……..5

2. Introduction ………….12

3. Global growth projections to 2050 ……..16

Box 1: China’s long-term growth prospects ….21

Box 2: Five ways in which Nigeria can support inclusive growth ……29

Box 3: The prospects for stable growth in Colombia ………….30

Box 4: Turkey’s journey to maturity …32

Box 5: Pitfalls on the path to prosperity – a discussion with Professor Marvin Zonis ……….37

4. Challenges for policymakers – achieving sustainable growth ….…………..39

Box 6: Meeting the demographic challenge in Poland ………..44

Box 7: Income inequality and what to do about it – an interview with Professor Branko Milanovic ………..47

Box 8: How institutions underpin development – an interview with Professor Michael Jacobides …………51

5. Opportunities for business – winning in emerging markets……….54

Box 9: Walmart in Brazil ………56

Box 10: Kellogg’s in India ……..58

Box 11: General Motors in China ………59

6. Appendices …61