大宗商品市场展望( 英文 60页)

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Table of Contents

目录

Figures

数据

Acknowledgments .......v

致谢......v

Executive Summary .....1

执行摘要.....1

Special Focus Potential Near-Term Implications of the Conflict in the Middle East for CommodityMarkets: A Preliminary Assessment....9

特别关注中东冲突对初级商品市场的潜在近期影响：初步评估.9

Commodity Market Developments and Outlook ......21

商品市场发展和展望......21

Energy ....23

能源.23

Fertilizers ....33

化肥.33

Agriculture ......34

农业......34

Metals and Minerals .....43

金属和矿产.....43

Figure

数据

1 Commodity prices, outlook, and risks .....2

1商品价格、前景和风险.2

SF.1 Commodity prices and geopolitical conflict .......12

SF.1商品价格和地缘政治冲突......12

SF.2 Differences between current oil market conditions and earlier conflicts .....13

SF.2当前石油市场状况与以前冲突之间的差异.13

SF.3 Implications of risk scenarios ....15

SF.3风险情景所涉问题.15

SF.4 Food insecurity and geopolitical risks ....17

SF.4粮食不安全和地缘政治风险……17

2 Oil market: demand developments ....23

2石油市场：需求发展……23

3 Oil market: supply developments ......25

3石油市场：供应发展......25

4 Outlook for oil markets .......26

4石油市场展望......26

5 Natural gas markets .....29

5天然气市场.....29

6 Coal markets ......31

6 煤炭市场......31

7 Fertilizer markets ....33

7 化肥市场...33

8 Agricultural prices .......35

8 农产品价格......35

9 Supply conditions for grains and edible oils ....36

9 谷物和食用油的供应条件.36

10 Food markets......37

10 食品市场......37

11 El Niño: strength and prices .....38

11厄尔尼诺现象：强度和价格

12 Food markets: security and inflation ......40

12食品市场：安全和通货膨胀……40

13 Beverage markets.....41

13饮品市场.....41

14 Agricultural raw materials markets ....42

14农业原材料市场...42

15 Metals and minerals market......44

15金属和矿产市场......44

16 Critical minerals market .......47

16关键矿物市场......47

17 Gold and silver .......48

17金银市场......48

Table 

表

1 World Bank Commodities Price Forecasts .....6

1世界银行商品价格预测.....6